SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202623 days left

Will Donald Trump pardon between 20 and 24 people before Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

6¢
$6 volume
11.4 LAS liquidity
11% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$52

Best sibling

3 to 9 5¢

Ticker

KXPARDONSTRUMP-26MAY-22

Market snapshot

20 to 24 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Donald Trump pardon between 20 and 24 people before Jun 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6. In the Will Donald Trump pardon family, this outcome ranks #5 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

20 to 24

Family rank

#5 of 8

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

Reported volume

$6

Family context

8 outcomes · Will Donald Trump pardon

Quote range

3¢-53¢

Family leader

0 53¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXPARDONSTRUMP-26MAY-22. Family volume: $52.

Price history

6¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 9¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
3¢5
2¢300
AskSize
9¢143
10¢100
11¢200
89¢200
90¢3.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 20 and 24 persons after Issuance and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXPARDONSTRUMP-26MAY-22

Event family

Will Donald Trump pardon.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$52

Outcomes

8

Highest price

0 53¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

50434.5%

IY (No)

48.2%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.2%

LAS

2.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

50434.5%
48.2%
Adj IY
0%
32
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
2.00

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