Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 91% probability that Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?. This contract trades at 91¢ on Polymarket, closing May 8, 2026.

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91¢
Bid/Ask 90/92¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $1,553.775·OI $5,476.509·Closes May 8, 2026·10d remaining
0xee6d3d1a2cc873bf79ebc2567d9e01d7d83affee846a6b686ea187d6bee36d32
7-day price77 snapshots · 84 regime
97¢91¢ current
Apr 2136¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 371.3%
IY (No) 37957.0%
Adj IY 36704%
CRI 10
RV 157%
VR 0.84
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)371.3%
IY (No)37957.0%
Adj IY36704%
CRI10
RV157%
VR0.84
IAR1.9/h
LAS0.03

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 6:48:23 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 6:38:27 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xee6d3d1a2cc873bf79ebc2567d9e01d7d83affee846a6b686ea187d6bee36d32 yes 100

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