SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027

Will Enayat Nazhat advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$624 volume
$14 liquidity
605% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$103

Best sibling

Mai Vang 81¢

Ticker

KXCAPRIMARY-0726-ENAZ

Market snapshot

Enayat Nazhat in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Enayat Nazhat advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $624. In the KXCAPRIMARY-0726 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:07 PM UTC.

Outcome

Enayat Nazhat

Family rank

#5 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$624

Family context

6 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-0726

Quote range

1¢-88¢

Family leader

Doris Matsui 88¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:07 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXCAPRIMARY-0726-ENAZ. Family volume: $103.

Price history

5¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 4¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
AskSize
6¢100
7¢200
67¢718
68¢159

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Enayat Nazhat advances in the 2026 CA-07 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXCAPRIMARY-0726-ENAZ

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXCAPRIMARY-0726.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$103

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Doris Matsui 88¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

2026 California Primary Election Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXCAPRIMARY series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.