Will FedEx Corporation report Above 16.8 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Will FedEx Corporation report Above 16.8 million avg daily package volume in Q4 2026?. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing July 23, 2026. This market is essentially dead with zero liquidity and a 0¢ price indicating near-zero conviction that FedEx will exceed 16.8 million average daily packages in Q4 2026.
Analysis
This market is essentially dead with zero liquidity and a 0¢ price indicating near-zero conviction that FedEx will exceed 16.8 million average daily packages in Q4 2026. The extreme 1537.4% implied yield on the "No" side and massive 10¢ spread reflect the complete absence of trading activity rather than genuine market sentiment. With 95 days to expiry and no open interest, this appears to be an abandoned or failed market launch that lacks sufficient participant interest to generate meaningful price discovery.
Resolution rules
If FedEx Corporation reports Above 16800000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXFDX-26JUNADV-16800000.0 yes 100