What is the current probability for "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 83¢ (83% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 14, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 537.4% and 12810.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Jamal Murray: 2+ threes

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that Jamal Murray: 2+ threes. This contract trades at 83¢ on Kalshi, closing May 14, 2026.

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83¢

Bid/Ask 83/85¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $67·OI $70·Closes May 14, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBA3PT-26APR30DENMIN-DENJMURRAY27-2

7-day price51 snapshots · 3 regime

84¢83¢ current

Apr 2872¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Jamal Murray records 2+ Three Pointers in the Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 537.4%

IY (No) 12810.4%

Adj IY 12348%

CRI 5

RV 213%

VR 0.85

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	537.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	12810.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	12348%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	213%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.85	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	3.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.04	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/30/2026, 7:16:48 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 7:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA3PT-26APR30DENMIN-DENJMURRAY27-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →