SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2028602 days left

Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2027?

This contract is priced at 88¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 84¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

88¢
$18 volume
$242 liquidity
7% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$258

Best sibling

September 30, 2026 67¢

Ticker

0x5dc95230…dbfd

Market snapshot

December 31, 2027 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2027?. The displayed quote is 88¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $18. In the Will Fuse Energy launch a token by ___? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

December 31, 2027

Family rank

#1 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

88¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

Reported volume

$18

Family context

7 outcomes · Will Fuse Energy launch a token by ___?

Quote range

56¢-88¢

Family leader

December 31, 2027 88¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x5dc952306928fc74fef0a9e034d1b7593cdaa2c77099c56d03440de84a46dbfd. Family volume: $258.

Price history

88¢ current

+16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

84 / 91¢

Polymarket
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢250
84¢200
43¢6
7¢8
6¢67
5¢1.0K
4¢11
2¢84
AskSize
91¢51
95¢43
97¢21
98¢217
99¢458

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fuse officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by Fuse will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fuse Energy (https://x.com/fuseenergy), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

0x5dc95230…dbfd

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8.3%

IY (No)

444.9%

Adj IY

409%

CRI

7

RV

143%

VR

4.91

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8.3%
444.9%
Adj IY
409%
7
RV
143%
VR
4.91
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
4.5%
LAS
0.08

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