Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2027?
This contract is priced at 87¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 82¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$258
Best sibling
September 30, 2026 67¢
Ticker
0x3b5ff8cd…43f9
Market snapshot
September 30, 2027 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2027?. The displayed quote is 87¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $50. In the Will Fuse Energy launch a token by ___? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
September 30, 2027
Family rank
#2 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
87¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2028
Reported volume
$50
Family context
7 outcomes · Will Fuse Energy launch a token by ___?
Quote range
56¢-88¢
Family leader
December 31, 2027 88¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: 0x3b5ff8cd6f26e04f22ce21a4419f24aa9fa27bd2ac3a0b9a20d210ab0db643f9. Family volume: $258.
Price history
87¢ current
+14¢Orderbook snapshot
82 / 91¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fuse officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by Fuse will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fuse Energy (https://x.com/fuseenergy), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
0x3b5ff8cd…43f9
Event family
Will Fuse Energy launch a token by ___.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$258
Outcomes
7
Highest price
December 31, 2027 88¢
Current share
19%
September 30, 2027
polymarket · 0x3b5ff8cd6f26e04f22ce21a4419f24aa9fa27bd2ac3a0b9a20d210ab0db643f9
September 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x595897fac5e16cbeff68b0f4c1015569aa62b4836a4891ae849e255b0668e675
June 30, 2027
polymarket · 0xbd119734190d90fba8acf9f8ed3aba364b2eb09b2870aaa7b79c73c50d9fe35c
December 31, 2026
polymarket · 0xca3611bc0c462d7815a9431488dc3f262e82a7af731c3a4d877ac8df1e19b824
March 31, 2027
polymarket · 0x5cd39bac58465dd9b4d2246bd900a221cf39477ccf5633abe23e93198952ddd5
December 31, 2027
polymarket · 0x5dc952306928fc74fef0a9e034d1b7593cdaa2c77099c56d03440de84a46dbfd
June 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x264ddf677ee1fd5774ad5fcd60269e4a753c2f504730103bd68bfcb086f849d7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 87% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.