SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2028602 days left

Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 85¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 81¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

85¢
$37 volume
$284 liquidity
14% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$258

Best sibling

September 30, 2026 67¢

Ticker

0xca3611bc…b824

Market snapshot

December 31, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 85¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $8. In the Will Fuse Energy launch a token by ___? family, this outcome ranks #4 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

December 31, 2026

Family rank

#4 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

85¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

24h volume

$8

Family context

7 outcomes · Will Fuse Energy launch a token by ___?

Quote range

56¢-88¢

Family leader

December 31, 2027 88¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Venue identifier: 0xca3611bc0c462d7815a9431488dc3f262e82a7af731c3a4d877ac8df1e19b824. Family volume: $258.

Price history

85¢ current

+11¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

81 / 89¢

Polymarket
8¢ spread
BidSize
81¢8
80¢170
42¢19
7¢8
6¢49
5¢1.0K
3¢300
2¢80
AskSize
89¢35
90¢500
91¢11
94¢6
95¢20
96¢25
97¢8
98¢217

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fuse officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by Fuse will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fuse Energy (https://x.com/fuseenergy), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

0xca3611bc…b824

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10.7%

IY (No)

343.8%

Adj IY

344%

CRI

6

RV

306%

VR

9.35

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10.7%
343.8%
Adj IY
344%
6
RV
306%
VR
9.35
IAR
2.8/h
Overround
4.6%

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