SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 11, 20262 days left

Will I'm The Problem be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of May 16, 2026

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 97¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$50 volume
$50 liquidity
19% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$263

Best sibling

Will DANDELION be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of May 16, 2026: DANDELION 6¢

Ticker

KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26MAY16-IMT

Market snapshot

Will I'm The Problem be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of May 16, 2026: I'm The Problem in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will I'm The Problem be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of May 16, 2026. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $50. In the KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26MAY16 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will I'm The Problem be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of May 16, 2026: I'm The Problem

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 11, 2026

Reported volume

$50

Family context

4 outcomes · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26MAY16

Quote range

1¢-6¢

Family leader

Will DANDELION be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of May 16, 2026: DANDELION 6¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26MAY16-IMT. Family volume: $263.

Price history

5¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 97¢

Kalshi
97¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
97¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If I'm The Problem is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 11, 2026

Identifier

KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26MAY16-IMT

Event family

KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26MAY16.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$263

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Will DANDELION be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of May 16, 2026: DANDELION 6¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

19

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index