SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 15, 202612 days left

Will Italy inflation rate YoY for April 2026 be above 3.0%?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 16¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$182 volume
$152 liquidity
34% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$532

Best sibling

Above 2.9% 2¢

Ticker

KXITCPIPREL-26MAY15-T3.0

Price history

5¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 30, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 20¢

Kalshi
16¢ spread
BidSize
4¢300
2¢200
AskSize
20¢7
93¢57
95¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Italy inflation rate YoY for April 2026 is above 3 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 15, 2026

Identifier

KXITCPIPREL-26MAY15-T3.0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

75328.9%

IY (No)

130.8%

Adj IY

37664%

CRI

24

Overround

2.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

75328.9%
130.8%
Adj IY
37664%
24
Overround
2.8%

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