Jakub Paul / Marcus Willis to win the Paul / Willis vs Bolelli / Vavassori
Jakub Paul / Marcus Willis is priced at 38¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 45¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV.
Price history
38¢ current
+32¢Contract brief
If Jakub Paul / Marcus Willis wins the Paul / Willis vs Bolelli / Vavassori professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jakub Paul / Marcus Willis
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori 75¢
Range
15¢-75¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV-PAUWIL
May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
45¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jakub Paul / Marcus Willis wins the Paul / Willis vs Bolelli / Vavassori professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV-PAUWIL
Event family
KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori 75¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.