SimpleFunctions

Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori to win the Paul / Willis vs Bolelli / Vavassori

Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori is priced at 82¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV.

Price history

82¢ current

+46¢
50¢75¢
May 29, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

If Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori wins the Paul / Willis vs Bolelli / Vavassori professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori 75¢

Range

15¢-75¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV-BOLVAV

May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

82¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

75¢

Ask

88¢

Spread

13¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 88¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
75¢1.0K
38¢163
37¢1.1K
36¢555
4¢500
AskSize
88¢300
90¢100
94¢555
96¢500
97¢153

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori wins the Paul / Willis vs Bolelli / Vavassori professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV-BOLVAV

SF Signal
SF Index
3552.66
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY31PAUWILBOLVAV.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori 75¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

789.5%
7105.3%
Adj IY
3553%
3

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.