Jensen make at least 5 three pointers during the BobHQ 3PT Shootout
Jensen: 5+ made three pointers is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside KXBDS3PTOU-26.
Price history
32¢ current
+29¢Contract brief
If Jensen makes at least 5 three pointers out of 25 attempts during the BobHQ 3PT Shootout originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jensen: 5+ made three pointers
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Joey: 6+ made three pointers 49¢
Range
17¢-49¢
Family volume
$18K
Identifier
KXBDS3PTOU-26-JEN5
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · KXBDS3PTOU-26
Closes
Jun 15, 2026
Family volume
$18K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jensen makes at least 5 three pointers out of 25 attempts during the BobHQ 3PT Shootout originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 15, 2026
Identifier
KXBDS3PTOU-26-JEN5
Event family
KXBDS3PTOU-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$18K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Joey: 6+ made three pointers 49¢
Current share
19%
Joey: 6+ made three pointers
kalshi · KXBDS3PTOU-26-JOE6
Bob: 11+ made three pointers
kalshi · KXBDS3PTOU-26-BOB11
Jensen: 5+ made three pointers
kalshi · KXBDS3PTOU-26-JEN5
Binny: 11+ made three pointers
kalshi · KXBDS3PTOU-26-BIN11
Ben: 12+ made three pointers
kalshi · KXBDS3PTOU-26-BEN12
Fat Perez: 11+ made three pointers
kalshi · KXBDS3PTOU-26-FAT11
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.