SimpleFunctions

Joey make at least 6 three pointers during the BobHQ 3PT Shootout

Joey: 6+ made three pointers is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside KXBDS3PTOU-26.

Price history

52¢ current

+49¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 25, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Joey makes at least 6 three pointers out of 25 attempts during the BobHQ 3PT Shootout originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Joey: 6+ made three pointers

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Joey: 6+ made three pointers 49¢

Range

17¢-49¢

Family volume

$18K

Identifier

KXBDS3PTOU-26-JOE6

May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

52¢

Spread

24h volume

$7K

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · KXBDS3PTOU-26

Closes

Jun 15, 2026

Family volume

$18K

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 52¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
49¢500
48¢2.0K
32¢272
31¢54
30¢384
AskSize
52¢1.4K
55¢600
67¢232
68¢481
69¢746

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Joey makes at least 6 three pointers out of 25 attempts during the BobHQ 3PT Shootout originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 15, 2026

Identifier

KXBDS3PTOU-26-JOE6

SF Signal
SF Index
1924.08
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2049.5%

IY (No)

1891.9%

Adj IY

1924%

CRI

1

RV

5728%

VR

2.74

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2049.5%
1891.9%
Adj IY
1924%
1
RV
5728%
VR
2.74
IAR
1.5/h
Overround
0.8%
LAS
0.06

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.