Jessie Bates III · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01
Jessie Bates III is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 99¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01.
Price history
35¢ current
Contract brief
If Jessie Bates III is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jessie Bates III
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Jalen Ramsey 99¢
Range
2¢-99¢
Family volume
$15
Identifier
KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-JBAT
May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
99¢
Reported volume
$2
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$15
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jessie Bates III is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-JBAT
Event family
KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jalen Ramsey 99¢
Current share
0%
Jalen Ramsey
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-JRAM
A.J. Brown
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-ABRO
Jessie Bates III
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-JBAT
Anthony Richardson Sr.
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-ARIC
Budda Baker
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-BBAK
Brian Thomas Jr.
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-BTHO
Brandon Aiyuk
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-BAIY
Drake London
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-DLON
Breece Hall
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-BHAL
Ed Oliver
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-EOLI
Jalen Carter
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-JCAR
Aaron Jones Sr.
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-AJON
Joe Burrow
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-JBUR
Fred Warner
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-FWAR
Garrett Wilson
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-GWIL
De’Von Achane
kalshi · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-DACH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.