SimpleFunctions

Brandon Aiyuk · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01

Brandon Aiyuk is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 22¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01.

Price history

14¢ current

3¢
0¢25¢
May 29, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Brandon Aiyuk is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Brandon Aiyuk

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Breece Hall 75¢

Range

1¢-75¢

Family volume

$31

Identifier

KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-BAIY

Jun 26, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

22¢

24h volume

$12

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$31

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 33¢

Kalshi
22¢ spread
BidSize
11¢5
10¢1
8¢25
6¢44
4¢16
AskSize
33¢5
34¢7
42¢12
43¢41
45¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Brandon Aiyuk is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-BAIY

SF Signal
SF Index
1866.96
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1867.0%

IY (No)

28.5%

Adj IY

1867%

CRI

8

RV

1203%

VR

2.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1867.0%
28.5%
Adj IY
1867%
8
RV
1203%
VR
2.79
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
3.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.