SimpleFunctions

Joao Fonseca wins 3-0 · KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO

Joao Fonseca wins 3-0 is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO.

Price history

12¢ current

+3¢
0¢10¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Joao Fonseca wins the Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 by a set score of 3-0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Joao Fonseca wins 3-0

Rank

#6 of 6

Leader

Novak Djokovic wins 3-0 23¢

Range

6¢-23¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO-FON30

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#6 of 6

6 outcomes · KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 10¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
6¢650
5¢1.0K
3¢2
2¢129
AskSize
10¢2
11¢157
12¢650
14¢232
15¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Joao Fonseca wins the Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 by a set score of 3-0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO-FON30

SF Signal
SF Index
39225.77
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

39225.8%

IY (No)

159.8%

Adj IY

39226%

CRI

16

RV

2847%

VR

2.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

39225.8%
159.8%
Adj IY
39226%
16
RV
2847%
VR
2.00
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
-0.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.