SimpleFunctions

Novak Djokovic wins 3-0 · KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO

Novak Djokovic wins 3-0 is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO.

Price history

28¢ current

+11¢
20¢30¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Novak Djokovic wins the Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 by a set score of 3-0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Novak Djokovic wins 3-0

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Novak Djokovic wins 3-0 23¢

Range

6¢-23¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO-DJO30

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

23¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

24h volume

$59

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 28¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
23¢650
22¢1.0K
11¢1
8¢1
6¢146
AskSize
28¢133
29¢650
31¢274
32¢1.0K
64¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Novak Djokovic wins the Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 by a set score of 3-0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPEXACTMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO-DJO30

SF Signal
SF Index
8382.20
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8382.2%

IY (No)

747.9%

Adj IY

8382%

CRI

3

RV

2149%

VR

1.75

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8382.2%
747.9%
Adj IY
8382%
3
RV
2149%
VR
1.75
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
-0.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.