Will Joji have a top 20 song this year?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$234
Best sibling
Charli xcx 22¢
Ticker
KX20SONG-26DEC26-JOJ
Market snapshot
Joji in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Joji have a top 20 song this year?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $104. In the KX20SONG-26DEC26 family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Joji
Family rank
#14 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
6¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 29, 2026
24h volume
$104
Family context
16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26
Quote range
2¢-99¢
Family leader
Drake 99¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KX20SONG-26DEC26-JOJ. Family volume: $234.
Price history
6¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 15¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Joji has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Identifier
KX20SONG-26DEC26-JOJ
Event family
KX20SONG-26DEC26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$234
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Drake 99¢
Current share
44%
Joji
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-JOJ
Charli xcx
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-XCX
Future
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-FUT
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-KAN
Drake
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-DRA
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-WEE
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-ARI
Ed Sheeran
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-ED
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-TRA
Eminem
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-EMI
Rihanna
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-RIH
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BIL
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-KEN
Post Malone
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-POS
J Balvin
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-JBA
Ozuna
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-OZU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 6% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.