What is the current probability for "Will Travis Scott have a top 20 song this year?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 45¢ (45% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 29, 2026. 234 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Travis Scott have a top 20 song this year?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 190.4% and 127.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Travis Scott have a top 20 song this year?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will Travis Scott have a top 20 song this year?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 14¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

45¢

$2K volume

$541 liquidity

20158% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$11

Best sibling

Ed Sheeran 11¢

Ticker

KX20SONG-26DEC26-TRA

Market snapshot

Travis Scott in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Travis Scott have a top 20 song this year?. The displayed quote is 45¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $10. In the KX20SONG-26DEC26 family, this outcome ranks #7 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Travis Scott

Family rank

#7 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

45¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

24h volume

$10

Family context

16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26

Quote range

2¢-99¢

Family leader

Drake 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KX20SONG-26DEC26-TRA. Family volume: $11.

Price history

45¢ current

−9¢

25¢50¢75¢100¢

Apr 9, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 59¢

Kalshi

14¢ spread

BidSize

45¢5

44¢200

21¢57

12¢340

11¢602

AskSize

59¢200

62¢122

86¢94

87¢626

92¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Travis Scott has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KX20SONG-26DEC26-TRA

Event family

KX20SONG-26DEC26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$11

Outcomes

Highest price

Drake 99¢

Current share

89%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Travis Scott

kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-TRA

45¢$10$100.3

Ed Sheeran