SimpleFunctions

José Williams to win Peru Presidential Election

José Williams is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Peru Presidential Election Winner.

Price history

0¢ current

50¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Contract brief

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Outcome

José Williams

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Keiko Fujimori 74¢

Range

0¢-74¢

Family volume

$55.2M

Identifier

0x79655755...135f

May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$143K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Peru Presidential Election Winner

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Family volume

$55.2M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢2.4K
0¢178K
2¢30
100¢200
100¢310
100¢41
100¢123
100¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Identifier

0x79655755…135f

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Peru Presidential Election Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$55.2M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Keiko Fujimori 74¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Keiko Fujimori

polymarket · 0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a

74¢
$7.0M$54K0.0

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

polymarket · 0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951

25¢
$13.4M$35K0.0

Rafael López Aliaga

polymarket · 0xae6d3d20bc8f742922dc40880cd8a8671c10385a9912fa7cd670fba0643dfe96

1¢
$12.5M$78K

Jorge Nieto

polymarket · 0x158fdaad572880f8de3d3f00e4d3c2fbbae77108d88c29deb800141928c1e040

0¢
$5.7M$0

Ricardo Belmont

polymarket · 0x0a10ea4f5d42ac33a29d73b8562f4414f5ea2219afd9da74ba950f7aefe7c630

0¢
$4.3M$26K

Carlos Álvarez

polymarket · 0x9b14ba5cc37a35c0db2c9849e631d98195670be4a0f91233a81529f22a7a5949

0¢
$3.7M$186K

Alfonso López Chau

polymarket · 0x78f5630bafa15147941daa2fd2926b43febe6af1544cd9d8527b226914f3ca11

0¢
$2.3M$9K

Carlos Espá

polymarket · 0x974dcbcce5e8186e0e273065a60675bc17617897c395eca60478d0c49f80718f

0¢
$1.7M$68K

Marisol Pérez Tello

polymarket · 0x28d4cee5a4bb01e0a7b1a39f8a23b2af657d9cf06d1e0ed8443c6b09329b9be3

0¢
$1.5M$71K

Wolfgang Grozo

polymarket · 0xe18a1286c10eb4e5d6b67a81e0164425366e5dc08f9cf36e979c48d24eca569d

0¢
$703K$0

César Acuña

polymarket · 0xef61cec575ac7260343e1f0c11900fee12a1f30b521b649eec7663ec5424242a

0¢
$645K$0

Fernando Olivera

polymarket · 0x24a454785cac9984fde7736d0d4b37929b7253d527d359f547c909eec89862b9

0¢
$473K$0

Yonhy Lescano

polymarket · 0x6a58844c4dfdf677adb5e20bcefb851833cb335210e139ce37e63482e0679617

0¢
$439K$0

José Luna

polymarket · 0xf73e2e231d324cb662ad80eefdd90bba5007fc4df45bc2c7bab90d83693cc4ee

0¢
$370K$0

Mesías Guevara

polymarket · 0xb06bd8cd9693172502d649f157283cf4d6b15dc6d595495eed33b70e94b6565e

0¢
$327K$0

José Williams

polymarket · 0x7965575591c9229a2c75c881555403f5e867cd5759545619d8ec061b2b08135f

0¢
$143K$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.