SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026231 days left

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 22¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$866 volume
$210 liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$866

Best sibling

Ticker

0x19df8d3b…5827

Market snapshot

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?. The displayed quote is 24¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $866. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

24¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$866

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 13, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0x19df8d3b2d4765204a06d1ca67b0703e1e7d4c9d049a04aaf91c500233185827. Family volume: $866.

Price history

24¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 35¢

Polymarket
22¢ spread
BidSize
100¢107
13¢77
2¢47
AskSize
35¢280
66¢20
67¢8
93¢10
94¢33
97¢6
98¢100
99¢110

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West and/or Bianca Censori announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Kanye West, Bianca Censori, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x19df8d3b…5827

SF Signal
SF Index
20.81
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$866

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026 24¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

499.7%
49.8%
Adj IY
21%
3
LAS
0.92

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.