SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will Kanye West / Ye have a top 20 song this year?

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$9K volume
$3K liquidity
82969% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$11

Best sibling

Travis Scott 45¢

Ticker

KX20SONG-26DEC26-KAN

Market snapshot

Kanye West / Ye in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Kanye West / Ye have a top 20 song this year?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $9K. In the KX20SONG-26DEC26 family, this outcome ranks #9 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Kanye West / Ye

Family rank

#9 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

25¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

Reported volume

$9K

Family context

16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26

Quote range

2¢-99¢

Family leader

Drake 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KX20SONG-26DEC26-KAN. Family volume: $11.

Price history

25¢ current

6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 22, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 28¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
25¢28
20¢200
13¢76
12¢402
8¢70
AskSize
28¢200
29¢9
45¢350
60¢105
64¢864

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Kanye West / Ye has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KX20SONG-26DEC26-KAN

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

467.2%

IY (No)

51.9%

Adj IY

206%

CRI

3

Overround

14.2%

LAS

0.12

Regime

neutral

Score

0.386

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

467.2%
51.9%
Adj IY
206%
3
Overround
14.2%
LAS
0.12

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