What is the current probability for "Will Keaton Wagler be a top 5 draft pick in 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 37¢ (37% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on July 14, 2026. 72 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Keaton Wagler be a top 5 draft pick in 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1301.8% and 196.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Keaton Wagler be a top 5 draft pick in 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJul 14, 202672 days left

Will Keaton Wagler be a top 5 draft pick in 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

37¢

$729 volume

$729 liquidity

313% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$233

Best sibling

Darius Acuff Jr. 47¢

Ticker

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KWAG

Price history

37¢ current

+12¢

Apr 21, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 36¢

Kalshi

8¢ spread

BidSize

28¢10

27¢500

20¢500

10¢500

4¢1.5K

AskSize

36¢5

37¢112

38¢500

50¢400

51¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Keaton Wagler is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KWAG

Event family

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$233

Outcomes

Highest price

AJ Dybantsa 95¢

Current share

10%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Keaton Wagler

kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KWAG

28¢$23$230.3

Darius Acuff Jr.