Kendrick Lamar · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26
Kendrick Lamar is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26.
Price history
4¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Kendrick Lamar is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kendrick Lamar
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
Taylor Swift 27¢
Range
1¢-27¢
Family volume
$238
Identifier
KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-KEN
Jun 2, 2026, 5:54 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$192
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$238
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kendrick Lamar is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-KEN
Event family
KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$238
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Taylor Swift 27¢
Current share
81%
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-TAY
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-BAD
Drake
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-DRA
Morgan Wallen
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-MOR
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-BEY
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-KEN
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-WEE
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-CHA
Bruno Mars
kalshi · KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-BRUN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.