Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 32% probability that Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that t.... This contract trades at 32¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This illiquid market with just $247 open interest and zero 24-hour volume shows a 35% probability for Bad Bunny finishing as the #2 most-streamed U.S.
Analysis
This illiquid market with just $247 open interest and zero 24-hour volume shows a 35% probability for Bad Bunny finishing as the #2 most-streamed U.S. artist on 2026 Spotify Wrapped, though the extreme 424% implied yield on the Yes side suggests the pricing may not reflect realistic odds given the specificity of hitting exactly the #2 spot. The recent price decline from 27¢ to 25¢ over seven days indicates slight bearish pressure, and with 258 days to expiration and a 9¢ spread, this market lacks sufficient depth to confidently assess true probability.
Resolution rules
If Bad Bunny is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUPUSA-26-BAD yes 100