What is the current probability for "Will Keyd win the Keyd vs. R2 Esports Club CS2 match?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 49¢ (49% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 15, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Keyd win the Keyd vs. R2 Esports Club CS2 match?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 46902.5% and 129.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Keyd win the Keyd vs. R2 Esports Club CS2 match?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Keyd win the Keyd vs. R2 Esports Club CS2 match?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Keyd win the Keyd vs. R2 Esports Club CS2 match?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Kalshi, closing May 15, 2026.

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49¢mid

Bid/Ask 5/93¢·Spread 88¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 15, 2026·15d remaining

KXCS2GAME-26MAY010900KEYDR2-KEYD

7-day price18 snapshots · 2 regime

80¢5¢ current

Apr 304¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Keyd wins the CCT South America Series #1 2026: Keyd vs. R2 Esports Club CS2 match originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 46902.5%

IY (No) 129.9%

Adj IY 46902%

CRI 19

RV 42742%

VR 28.56

▶ Full indicator table (7)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	46902.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	129.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	46902%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	19	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	42742%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	28.56	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

88¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 6:11:48 PM

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 6:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCS2GAME-26MAY010900KEYDR2-KEYD yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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