SimpleFunctions

Kirk Cousins · KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV

Kirk Cousins is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 22¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV.

Price history

75¢ current

+31¢
50¢75¢
Apr 27, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Kirk Cousins is officially designated as Las Vegas's Starting Quarterback for Week 1 of the 2026-2027 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kirk Cousins

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Kirk Cousins 70¢

Range

1¢-70¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV-KCOU

May 27, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

75¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

69¢

Ask

91¢

Spread

22¢

Reported volume

$850

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 91¢

Kalshi
22¢ spread
BidSize
69¢519
68¢200
65¢705
47¢48
46¢177
AskSize
91¢200
95¢20
99¢330

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kirk Cousins is officially designated as Las Vegas's Starting Quarterback for Week 1 of the 2026-2027 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV-KCOU

SF Signal
SF Index
540.98
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Kirk Cousins 70¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

141.9%

IY (No)

772.8%

Adj IY

541%

CRI

2

RV

74%

VR

0.62

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

141.9%
772.8%
Adj IY
541%
2
RV
74%
VR
0.62
IAR
0.3/h
LAS
0.30

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.