Fernando Mendoza · KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV
Fernando Mendoza is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV.
Price history
21¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If Fernando Mendoza is officially designated as Las Vegas's Starting Quarterback for Week 1 of the 2026-2027 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Fernando Mendoza
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Kirk Cousins 69¢
Range
1¢-69¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV-FMEN
May 27, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
25¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Fernando Mendoza is officially designated as Las Vegas's Starting Quarterback for Week 1 of the 2026-2027 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV-FMEN
Event family
KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-LV.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Kirk Cousins 69¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.