SimpleFunctions

Kodak Black · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Kodak Black is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.

Price history

80¢ current

+6¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Apr 24, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Kodak Black releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kodak Black

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Range

12¢-99¢

Family volume

$886

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KOD

May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

68¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$886

Orderbook snapshot

68 / 77¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢650
68¢400
61¢80
6¢35
2¢50
AskSize
77¢400
84¢80
96¢54
97¢126
98¢36

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kodak Black releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KOD

SF Signal
SF Index
175.07
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMRELEASE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

77.5%

IY (No)

350.1%

Adj IY

175%

CRI

2

Overround

38.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

77.5%
350.1%
Adj IY
175%
2
Overround
38.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.