Billie Eilish · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Billie Eilish is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
27¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Billie Eilish releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Billie Eilish
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Range
11¢-99¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BIL
May 27, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
15¢
Reported volume
$16K
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Billie Eilish releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BIL
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 46¢, -19¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Current share
0%
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-OLIV
Quavo
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-QUA
Lil Uzi Vert
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-UZI
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-NIC
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-LAN
Ice Spice
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ICE
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KEN
Polo G
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-POL
Sam Smith
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SAM
SZA
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SZA
21 Savage
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-21S
Pharrell Williams
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-PHA
Rihanna
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-RIH
Tyga
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TYG
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BIL
Migos
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-MIG
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.