Las Vegas · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV
Las Vegas is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV.
Price history
65¢ current
+40¢Contract brief
If Las Vegas wins the Miami vs Las Vegas professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Las Vegas 64¢
Range
34¢-64¢
Family volume
$46
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV-LV
May 25, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
66¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$26
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$46
Orderbook snapshot
66 / 68¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Las Vegas wins the Miami vs Las Vegas professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV-LV
Event family
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$46
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Las Vegas 64¢
Current share
56%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.