SimpleFunctions

Miami · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV

Miami is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV.

Price history

38¢ current

+13¢
20¢30¢40¢
May 16, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Miami wins the Miami vs Las Vegas professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Miami

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Las Vegas 62¢

Range

35¢-62¢

Family volume

$36

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV-MIA

May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

32¢

Ask

37¢

Spread

24h volume

$14

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$36

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 37¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
32¢60
31¢5
26¢6
25¢22
24¢333
AskSize
37¢5
39¢534
56¢311
57¢100
58¢78

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miami wins the Miami vs Las Vegas professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV-MIA

SF Signal
SF Index
612.11
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13MIALV.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$36

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Las Vegas 62¢

Current share

38%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

612.1%

IY (No)

177.5%

Adj IY

612%

CRI

2

RV

886%

VR

3.15

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

612.1%
177.5%
Adj IY
612%
2
RV
886%
VR
3.15
IAR
0.4/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.