Before Jul 1, 2026 · Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before
Before Jul 1, 2026 is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jul 1, 2026
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 13¢
Range
1¢-13¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXELECTIONBILL-JUL01
Jun 7, 2026, 11:45 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXELECTIONBILL-JUL01
Event family
Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 13¢
Current share
9%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.