Before Jan 1, 2027 · Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before.
Price history
14¢ current
Contract brief
If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 13¢
Range
1¢-13¢
Family volume
$218K
Identifier
KXELECTIONBILL-27JAN01
Jul 20, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$11K
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$218K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXELECTIONBILL-27JAN01
Event family
Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$218K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 13¢
Current share
5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXELECTIONBILL-27JAN01
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXELECTIONBILL-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXELECTIONBILL-26NOV01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXELECTIONBILL-26OCT01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXELECTIONBILL-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXELECTIONBILL-AUG01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.454
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Nov 1, 2026
Will there be a government shutdown?
Will legislation appropriating at least $1 billion to U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for FY2026 become law before May 1, 2026
Will legislation that, upon becoming law, results in the Department of Homeland Security being funded at 12:01 AM ET the calendar day after enactment become law before May 15, 2026
Will marijuana be legalized federally?
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.