Linkin Park · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Linkin Park is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
Price history
94¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Linkin Park releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Linkin Park
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Ariana Grande 96¢
Range
80¢-96¢
Family volume
$215
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-LIN
May 26, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$76
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$215
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Linkin Park releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-LIN
Event family
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$215
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ariana Grande 96¢
Current share
0%
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ARI
Stray Kids
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-STR
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BAD
Olivia Dean
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-OLI
Big Sean
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIG
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIL
Doja Cat
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-DOJ
21 Savage
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-21S
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEY
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ADD
Benson Boone
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEN
PinkPantheress
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-PIN
Lil Nas X
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-NAS
Eminem
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-EMI
Linkin Park
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-LIN
Lil Uzi Vert
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-UZI
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.