SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 27, 202616 days left

Will Los Heretics win map 1 in the UB Alma Mater vs. Los Heretics match?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 88¢ spread.

Implied probability

96¢
$10 volume
$10 liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$10

Best sibling

UB Alma Mater 3¢

Ticker

KXLOLMAP-26MAY131400UBHRTS-1-HRTS

Market snapshot

Los Heretics in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Los Heretics win map 1 in the UB Alma Mater vs. Los Heretics match?. The displayed quote is 96¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $10. In the KXLOLMAP-26MAY131400UBHRTS-1 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

Los Heretics

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

96¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 27, 2026

24h volume

$10

Family context

2 outcomes · KXLOLMAP-26MAY131400UBHRTS-1

Quote range

3¢-9¢

Family leader

Los Heretics 9¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXLOLMAP-26MAY131400UBHRTS-1-HRTS. Family volume: $10.

Price history

96¢ current

+92¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 10, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 97¢

Kalshi
88¢ spread
BidSize
100¢300
9¢57
6¢10
4¢1
3¢100
AskSize
97¢100
99¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Los Heretics wins map 1 in the LES 2026: UB Alma Mater vs. Los Heretics League of Legends match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 27, 2026

Identifier

KXLOLMAP-26MAY131400UBHRTS-1-HRTS

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXLOLMAP-26MAY131400UBHRTS-1.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$10

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Los Heretics 9¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

League of Legends Map Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXLOLMAP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

23318.1%

IY (No)

228.1%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

10

RV

64353%

VR

24.32

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

23318.1%
228.1%
Adj IY
0%
10
RV
64353%
VR
24.32
IAR
2.3/h
LAS
10.33

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.