SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Madonna be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in May 2026?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$3K volume
$1K liquidity
39% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Noah Kahan 1¢

Ticker

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-MAD

Price history

3¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 5¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
3¢47
2¢200
AskSize
5¢1.1K
92¢145
93¢104
95¢48
97¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Madonna is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-MAD

Event family

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Olivia Rodrigo 60¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

41057.8%

IY (No)

39.3%

Adj IY

20529%

CRI

32

Overround

2.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

41057.8%
39.3%
Adj IY
20529%
32
Overround
2.1%

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