SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202653 days left

Will Marc Rowan join the Trump administration?

This contract is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

13¢
$104 volume
$104 liquidity

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Glenn Youngkin 10¢

Ticker

KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-MROW

Market snapshot

Marc Rowan in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Marc Rowan join the Trump administration?. The displayed quote is 13¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $104. In the KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Marc Rowan

Family rank

#2 of 11

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

13¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 1, 2026

Reported volume

$104

Family context

11 outcomes · KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01

Quote range

1¢-10¢

Family leader

Glenn Youngkin 10¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-MROW. Family volume: .

Price history

13¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 24, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 12¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
8¢7
7¢250
5¢100
3¢200
AskSize
12¢179
13¢100
15¢210
96¢52
97¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Marc Rowan joins the Presidential Administration before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-MROW

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7950.4%

IY (No)

60.1%

Adj IY

1988%

CRI

12

Overround

-0.5%

LAS

0.50

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7950.4%
60.1%
Adj IY
1988%
12
Overround
-0.5%
LAS
0.50

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