SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$2K volume
$577 liquidity
375% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$503

Best sibling

Benjamin Netanyahu 27¢

Ticker

KXMARALAGO-27-MTG

Price history

10¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 10¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
100¢850
8¢100
8¢106
6¢200
AskSize
10¢21
12¢4
13¢3
15¢100
16¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Marjorie Taylor Greene has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMARALAGO-27-MTG

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1728.3%

IY (No)

13.1%

Adj IY

648%

CRI

12

Overround

1.6%

LAS

0.25

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1728.3%
13.1%
Adj IY
648%
12
Overround
1.6%
LAS
0.25

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