SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

33¢
$923 volume
$734 liquidity
184% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$503

Best sibling

Benjamin Netanyahu 27¢

Ticker

KXMARALAGO-27-JBEZ

Price history

33¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 15, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 35¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
29¢5
28¢7
27¢100
26¢200
25¢39
AskSize
35¢100
36¢200
90¢166
91¢1.2K
91¢56

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Jeff Bezos has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMARALAGO-27-JBEZ

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

368.0%

IY (No)

61.4%

Adj IY

146%

CRI

2

Overround

1.6%

LAS

0.21

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

368.0%
61.4%
Adj IY
146%
2
Overround
1.6%
LAS
0.21

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