SimpleFunctions

Max Homa · KXPGAR3LEAD-CHSC26

Max Homa is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 44¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside KXPGAR3LEAD-CHSC26.

Price history

8¢ current

5¢10¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Max Homa is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Max Homa

Rank

#6 of 6

Leader

Justin Thomas 49¢

Range

8¢-49¢

Family volume

$170

Identifier

KXPGAR3LEAD-CHSC26-MHOM

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

Ask

44¢

Spread

44¢

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#6 of 6

6 outcomes · KXPGAR3LEAD-CHSC26

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$170

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 44¢

Kalshi
44¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
44¢10
49¢20
54¢30
59¢40
64¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Max Homa is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAR3LEAD-CHSC26-MHOM

SF Signal
SF Index
12952.85
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXPGAR3LEAD-CHSC26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$170

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Justin Thomas 49¢

Current share

3%

Browse this series

PGA Championship Round-Leader Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAR series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

25905.7%

IY (No)

195.9%

Adj IY

12953%

CRI

12

Overround

0.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

25905.7%
195.9%
Adj IY
12953%
12
Overround
0.6%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.