SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Michael Jackson be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in May 2026?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$11K volume
$8K liquidity
19% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$59K

Best sibling

Ella Langley 99¢

Ticker

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-MIC

Price history

9¢ current

12¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 9¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
8¢7
7¢114
6¢79
5¢1.3K
4¢400
AskSize
9¢172
10¢2.3K
11¢548
12¢5.0K
14¢376

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Michael Jackson is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-MIC

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14587.3%

IY (No)

110.3%

Adj IY

6382%

CRI

12

Overround

1.9%

LAS

0.13

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14587.3%
110.3%
Adj IY
6382%
12
Overround
1.9%
LAS
0.13

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