SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

This contract is priced at 49¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 48¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

49¢
$178K volume
$10K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$178K

Best sibling

Ticker

0x89b80e42…79df

Market snapshot

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81. The displayed quote is 49¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

49¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$1K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: 0x89b80e42d59b2fd03f3ee592ab7e0114b2d96beb6fa14ba51cfce53b5f6279df. Family volume: $178K.

Price history

49¢ current

+19¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

48 / 50¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
48¢19
47¢167
46¢2.2K
45¢15
42¢26
41¢24
40¢160
39¢21
AskSize
50¢30
51¢750
52¢966
53¢863
54¢1.1K
55¢8.5K
57¢26
58¢45

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x89b80e42…79df

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$178K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 49¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

160.5%

IY (No)

148.1%

Adj IY

151%

CRI

1

RV

225%

VR

1.81

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

160.5%
148.1%
Adj IY
151%
1
RV
225%
VR
1.81
IAR
1.3/h
LAS
0.06

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