SimpleFunctions

Myles Garrett · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01

Myles Garrett is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 75¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01.

Price history

21¢ current

1¢
20¢30¢
Apr 25, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Myles Garrett is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Myles Garrett

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Jalen Ramsey 99¢

Range

2¢-99¢

Family volume

$15

Identifier

KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-MGAR

May 24, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

22¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

75¢

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$15

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 97¢

Kalshi
75¢ spread
BidSize
22¢28
21¢5
20¢285
19¢100
11¢58
AskSize
97¢200
99¢2.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Myles Garrett is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLTRADE-26DEC01-MGAR

SF Signal
SF Index
676.37
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

676.4%

IY (No)

53.8%

Adj IY

676%

CRI

4

RV

245%

VR

0.91

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

676.4%
53.8%
Adj IY
676%
4
RV
245%
VR
0.91
IAR
0.2/h
Overround
3.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.