SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 16, 202638 days left

Will Nacho be in the Spain World Cup final squad?

This contract is priced at 11¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$0 volume
1.0 LAS liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$815

Best sibling

Robin Le Normand 43¢

Ticker

KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NACH

Market snapshot

Nacho in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Nacho be in the Spain World Cup final squad?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXWCSQUAD-26ESP family, this outcome ranks #16 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Nacho

Family rank

#16 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Jun 16, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP

Quote range

6¢-91¢

Family leader

Unai Simon 91¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NACH. Family volume: $815.

Price history

11¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 15¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢259
6¢5
5¢200
AskSize
15¢200
92¢49
93¢1.6K
99¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Nacho is selected for the final squad for the Spain national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NACH

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

15120.7%

IY (No)

61.6%

Adj IY

7560%

CRI

16

Overround

23.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

15120.7%
61.6%
Adj IY
7560%
16
Overround
23.1%

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