SimpleFunctions

Nana · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL

Nana is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 13 inside KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL.

Price history

95¢ current

+91¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 16, 2026May 17, 2026

Contract brief

If a storm named Nana is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Nana

Rank

#5 of 13

Leader

Gonzalo 98¢

Range

6¢-98¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-NAN

Jun 7, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

95¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

Ask

95¢

Spread

95¢

Reported volume

$1

Family rank

#5 of 13

13 outcomes · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 95¢

Kalshi
95¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
95¢499
98¢3
99¢700

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If a storm named Nana is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-NAN

SF Signal
SF Index
1953.82
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10.8%

IY (No)

3907.6%

Adj IY

1954%

CRI

19

Overround

3.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10.8%
3907.6%
Adj IY
1954%
19
Overround
3.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.