SimpleFunctions

Hanna · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL

Hanna is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 13 inside KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL.

Price history

98¢ current

+86¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 16, 2026May 17, 2026

Contract brief

If a storm named Hanna is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Hanna

Rank

#1 of 13

Leader

Hanna 98¢

Range

6¢-98¢

Family volume

$3

Identifier

KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-HAN

Jun 8, 2026, 6:06 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 6:06 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

98¢

Spread

98¢

Reported volume

$2

Family rank

#1 of 13

13 outcomes · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$3

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 98¢

Kalshi
98¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
98¢101
99¢150

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If a storm named Hanna is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01ATL-HAN

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.