SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$288K volume
$36K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$288K

Best sibling

Ticker

0xc8f75911…de74

Market snapshot

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?. The displayed quote is 10¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

10¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$3K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: 0xc8f7591181f4059ffbdcc4c85b1e9e76f029bef0eb6cc46a80bd5617b947de74. Family volume: $288K.

Price history

10¢ current

14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 10¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
9¢17K
8¢102
7¢544
6¢2.5K
5¢1.4K
4¢4.0K
3¢4.3K
2¢32K
AskSize
10¢5.1K
11¢81
12¢50
13¢100
14¢3.1K
15¢10K
17¢260
18¢5

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0xc8f75911…de74

Event family

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$288K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30 10¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

6328.1%
78.1%
Adj IY
2848%
9
LAS
0.10

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index