What is the current probability for "Will New York M score over 3.5 runs?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 62¢ (62% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will New York M score over 3.5 runs?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 7251.7% and 17740.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will New York M score over 3.5 runs?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 6, 20263 days left

Will New York M score over 3.5 runs?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

62¢

$30 volume

$30 liquidity

5% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$551

Best sibling

New York M over 5.5 runs scored 36¢

Ticker

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031607NYMLAA-NYM4

Price history

62¢ current

+3¢

May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 62¢

Kalshi

1¢ spread

BidSize

61¢25

60¢1.1K

59¢1.6K

58¢210

56¢400

AskSize

62¢10

63¢50

64¢122

65¢1.5K

66¢1.6K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If New York M scores 4+ runs in the New York M vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 4:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031607NYMLAA-NYM4

Event family

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031607NYMLAA.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$551

Outcomes

Highest price

Los Angeles A over 1.5 runs scored 84¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

New York M over 3.5 runs scored

kalshi · KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031607NYMLAA-NYM4

61¢$30$30—

New York M over 5.5 runs scored

kalshi · KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031607NYMLAA-NYM6